MODERN BTC
--:--:-- BJ
STRATEGY Basis Mean
Regression
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Balance -- --
Total Trades -- --
Basis Ann. -- --
Contract -- --
Strategy Overview PERP vs DELIVERY

MEAN REVERSION MARKET NEUTRAL AUTOMATED

Basis Mean Regression is an automated carry-trade strategy that exploits the spread (basis) between BTC perpetual contracts and quarterly delivery contracts on Binance.

When the annualized basis is abnormally high, the engine simultaneously shorts the perpetual and longs the delivery contract, locking in the spread. As the basis reverts to its mean, the position is closed for profit. The strategy is market-neutral by design, hedging against BTC price movements.

当市场情绪转变(BTC 上涨预期增强时基差往往会拉大)或临近季度合约到期前基差收窄时,将重新评估入场机会。

01 Monitor Basis every 15s poll
02 Entry Signal basis_ann ≥ 9%
03 Open Position SHORT perp + LONG deliv
04 Mean Reversion basis drops to ~5.5%
05 Close & Collect realize spread profit
Algorithm Parameters LIVE

Entry Conditions

ConditionParameterValue
No existing position--single pair only
Annualized basis ≥ threshold--entry-ann9%
Funding rate ≥ floor--min-funding-rate-0.005%
Net carry ≥ threshold--min-net-carry-ann7%
Cooldown elapsed--reentry-cooldown-seconds1800s
DTE ≥ minimum--min-dte-days3 days

Exit Conditions (by priority)

PriorityTriggerValue
P1Basis mean reversion + held ≥ 2h + profit ≥ $05.5%
P2Funding rate adverse + held ≥ 2h + profit ≥ $0-0.015%
P3Max hold timeout72h
P4Stop loss0.5%

Fee & Execution

Taker Fee 0.045% Binance USDM
Slippage 3 bps 0.03% modeled
Notional $5,000 per trade
Round-trip Cost ~$9 2 legs x 2 dirs x fee
Performance Summary --
Total PnL -- --
Win Rate -- --
Avg Win -- per trade
Avg Loss -- per trade
Profit Factor -- gross win / gross loss
Primary Exit -- most common reason
Equity Curve --
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Basis Curve (5D / 1H) --
Perp Mark vs Index (basis %)
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Trade Journal --
Time Action Contract Qty (BTC) Perp Price Deliv Price Basis Ann. Funding Rate Reason Realized PnL Balance